jan updates

i haven't been posting here for quite some time because i haven't had any profound thoughts (i posted my quick tiltnotes on twitter though..mostly for fun and further review by myself) and of course i didn't feel like writing (read: i was lazy)

ok here are my results. it's been a solid month (notice: brag!), i played mostly HUSNGs: $10s and then $20s:

yesterday i took a shot@50nl and it wasn't all that good:

pretty disgusting. biggest pots were all preflop all-ins. lost with QQ vs KK(100bbs deep), QQvs AA(~200bbs deep), won KK vs QQ (100bbs deep) and lost KK vs AA(~200bbs deep). ok, probably i play premium pocketpairs like a noob but i don't know if i'll ever fold KK on a dry 7-high flop 200bbs deep in 4/5bet pot..

last ~$20 i won off CR headsup instructor "markuis"(brag!).. i wish i could have played longer but my connection was shitty last night and i was disconnected 3 times during that 60-hand session.

also, maybe it's good that i donated ~$100 to some fish from Tajikistan (internet?! poker?! does not compute)

ok so now i don't what shall i do:

1)keep grinding husngs.

but sometimes i have to wait quite some time to play $20s and there are MUCH fewer $50s (they're full of regs also so i doubt i'll sustain my 25+% roi). but i really enjoy low variance and high $/hr (~$39@$20 level, [ ]sustainable, lol sample size, etc)

2)work on my HU cash game.variance is much higher but my biggest winning day was at 50nl HU (~$280) as opposed to husngs ($167). alot more games, way to move up in stakes

3) ???

for now i'll stick to husngs, then maybe get a coach(to make sure i'm not spewing much) and take another shot at cash games.. i don't know

handhistories

There's been a lot of buzz recently about handhistories (isildur,BT,BH etc) so I've decided I should try something similar. after all it sounds like a good business plan:

1. collect handhistories

2. ?

3. profit

after browsing the web for some time I found an archive of 5million hands played on ipoker@50nl 6max this autumn (sept-oct '2009 probably). I dont play on ipoker and I know nothing about players there but I assume there's no much difference between ipoker and FT or PS (and also I comply with their TOS..). I've created a separate database and now I'm importing these hands. It seems that it may take forever - it's been exporting for almost 24hrs so far yet it's imported about 2.7 mil hands. import speed dropped down dramaticaly from 70-80hands/s in the beginning to 33hands/now so I may stop import some time tomorrow.

there's an interesting too that comes with holdem manager which is called 'holdem vision'. basicaly it profiles players at given limit(lag, tag, nits etc) and shows how different stats(VPIP, PFR, AF etc) correlate with their winrates. It also shows ranges in different flop and preflop spots, depending on actions(limpers/raiser/facing 3bet etc), board textures and number of players. I may play with this database on weekends and may write some sort of report here so if anyone has any specific questions post them in comments.

what's the use? well, for example there's an interesting post on 2p2 (link) on facong flop raise. cliffnotes from article that goes with holdem manager:

Post Summary

• take notes: Always important, but top pair would be easy to get away from if villain only min-raises with sets and you have no other draws. (Now I just got to find the time to enter all this data into my player notes).
• Not best hand: It's probably safe to say that when min-raised, your top pair hand is behind 75% of the time, or will be by the river without any draws. Maybe a little less than that for your overpair.
• No Fold Equity: 99% of the time the min-raiser will go on to see a showdown, so don't try to bluff him/her out unless you have a good read/notes.
• Great Implied Odds: This does give you GREAT implied odds if you have a good draw.

Now this sounds extremely important as I probably lose alot of money in situations like this. I'd also like to check balugawhale's "theorem" (fold when someone raises your turn bet) and examine winning players' tendencies.

ok, so for now some diagrams (based on 2.67mil hands and filtered only players that have min 1000 hands tracked)

breakeven range is +/- 5 bb/100

VPIP

15-20% vpip - 25% of players are winners

20-25% vpip - 33% of players are winners

25-30% vpip - 31% of players are winners

30-35% vpip - 31% of players are winners

35-40% vpip - 27% of players are winners

PFR

10-15% pfr - 25% of players are winners

15-20% pfr - 31% of players are winners

20-25% pfr - 36% of players are winners

25-30% pfr - 32% of players are winners

Post Flop Aggression

AF :: % of winners

1 :: 22

2 :: 27

3 :: 30

4 :: 31

5 :: 24

>15 :: 27

3-bet

2-4% 3bet - 21% of players are winners

4-6% 3bet - 27% of players are winners

6-8% 3bet - 34% of players are winners

8-10% 3bet - 37% of players are winners

10-12% 3bet - 21% of players are winners

12-14% 3bet - 32% of players are winners

WTSD%

15-20% wtsd - 29% of players are winners

20-25% wtsd - 31% of players are winners

25-30% wtsd - 26% of players are winners

30-35% wtsd - 29% of players are winners

35-40% wtsd - 16% of players are winners

40-45% wtsd - 24% of players are winners

so stats for most winning players:

vpip - 20-25%

pfr - 15-20%

af - 2

3bet - 4-6%

wtsd - 25-30%

and now for something completely different..

I was reading some articles about poker bots the other day and it made me want to play some limit hold'em (as it's the easiest form of poker for botting). my first book on poker that I read was on limit poker and the first poker game I played was limit poker (well actually it was 5 card draw poker but I was like 7yrs old so probably it doesn't count)..but I haven't played it since then, so I started playing the lowest limit possible. anyway, here's the graph of me 14-tabling on pokerstars:

[x] 31bb/100

makes me wanna learn limit hold'em...

poker economy

i think this picture needs more love:

ship it!!

while i was surfing and banging hot chics on Bali, my friend(i wrote about him a couple of times here) won a ticket to European Masters of Poker in Slovenia in a freeroll and took it down for 58190 euro: http://www.pokerrf.ru/texts/2009/11/29/183146.htm

sick life!

he still owes me $5 that he lost to me in our last home game...hehe..

it's cyberpoker! now on twitter

i've just set up my 1st twitter account: http://twitter.com/its_cyberpoker
i don't know what is it or how to use it, apparently it doesn't work with russian cell phones but since it's a cool thing to have, now i have one

windows 7

yesterday i installed windows 7 so i'm not using XP any more(and i hate vista). all software works fine, fulltilt crashed once though but i can't say it never happened before. i don't have my PT old database, i have hand histories though..maybe i'll export them some time. i guess it'll take forever :)
i won a couple buy-ins at 25nl moved to 50nl HU, lost 5bi there(which included few sick soulreads and running ~2.5 bis below EV)..but i don't have that nasty graph :) instead i have sweet little saturday boomswitch. i think i should slowly grind 25nl to build big enough rolls that can handle HU swings.
also i played 2 sats to minifrops event #1. the first one was for 500ftps. after villain cracked my queens with AQ i had about 1 small blind left but eventually i made final table with 3rd stack!..only to finish 7th(5 prizes). should have shipped it..that'd be epic! :) the next one was $6 sat... to $22 event..yes, i'm a nit! got my ticket..but then i realized it starts on Thu at 5am Moscow time..hm?
*update*
sunday graph: