fulltilt support is the best

today I was playing $50 husng, I was leading, got disconnected, when i finaly logged back in i had 140chips (blinds: 25/50). needless to say i lost this one. i emailed fulltilt ("omg wtf rigged!!" etc) and got their response within 20 minutes:

We've reviewed tournament ######### and found you experienced Internet connection issues while playing. As a courtesy, we've credited your account with the buy-in for this tournament in Tournament Dollars (T$), 52.50T$.

half month update

1st half of the month has passed and i've met half of my monthly goals (i.e. 1 goal): make $1k (brag, kinda). mostly 30$, some 20s and one 55$ hu miniftops event (epic fail vs superfish, game #133 followed by lifetilt till game #139). i'm not even close to 250 games (1/2 of 500games, goal#2) and i don't think i'll have that much time this month to achieve it. so maybe i'll change my plan. after all i've made 1k, time to press F2("save game"). i should probably stick to 30s..or move upto 50s..or try cash and spew it all :)

btw, i applied for the mount robusto project and got an email few days ago from my "sergeant". we're a group of 10, looks like most of us play 50nl to 100nk cash and we're having some sort of assignments soon. i still don't know what it all means and i can't even watch the mount robusto video update..but we'll see

february

donkaments +$713:

cash -$259:

bottom line: +$454 (sigh!)

cash: continuation of 50nl shot-taking from last month..didn't end well. i didn't play badly though, mostly coolers. i suspect i might have been owned near the end (red line drops). the rest is 10nl and some 25nl when i was bored with husngs.

donkaments: unfortunately my graph doesn't look like a boner, like last month. after about 100 games i've printed enough $$s to take another shot at 50nlhu, this did not end well, probably i was tilted and i def didn't play my a-game. also, i started 2-tabling husng so it might as well be learning curve. i was struggling with 2 tables in the beginning for sure! then i was running bad. oh and i didn't play much last week (too tilted/tired after the olympic games - can't believe one night i slept less than 2 hrs to see that misery), so i may say i had a break from poker and now i'm ready to conquer new heights.

goals for the march:

-play at least 500 husngs

-make at least $1000 (10%roi@20s)

(?)try more 30s and maybe 50s

(?)work on 6max/hu cash

i may be overrolled for 100nl soon so playing 20s will be huge -EV for my bankroll. i have to move up somewhere ldo..maybe hu cash+coah, i don't know yet. there were 2 propbets on BBV: 15k/month@100nl and 30k/month@200plo. both guys achieved their goals. i wanna move uuupppp toooo...

jan updates

i haven't been posting here for quite some time because i haven't had any profound thoughts (i posted my quick tiltnotes on twitter though..mostly for fun and further review by myself) and of course i didn't feel like writing (read: i was lazy)

ok here are my results. it's been a solid month (notice: brag!), i played mostly HUSNGs: $10s and then $20s:

yesterday i took a shot@50nl and it wasn't all that good:

pretty disgusting. biggest pots were all preflop all-ins. lost with QQ vs KK(100bbs deep), QQvs AA(~200bbs deep), won KK vs QQ (100bbs deep) and lost KK vs AA(~200bbs deep). ok, probably i play premium pocketpairs like a noob but i don't know if i'll ever fold KK on a dry 7-high flop 200bbs deep in 4/5bet pot..

last ~$20 i won off CR headsup instructor "markuis"(brag!).. i wish i could have played longer but my connection was shitty last night and i was disconnected 3 times during that 60-hand session.

also, maybe it's good that i donated ~$100 to some fish from Tajikistan (internet?! poker?! does not compute)

ok so now i don't what shall i do:

1)keep grinding husngs.

but sometimes i have to wait quite some time to play $20s and there are MUCH fewer $50s (they're full of regs also so i doubt i'll sustain my 25+% roi). but i really enjoy low variance and high $/hr (~$39@$20 level, [ ]sustainable, lol sample size, etc)

2)work on my HU cash game.variance is much higher but my biggest winning day was at 50nl HU (~$280) as opposed to husngs ($167). alot more games, way to move up in stakes

3) ???

for now i'll stick to husngs, then maybe get a coach(to make sure i'm not spewing much) and take another shot at cash games.. i don't know

handhistories

There's been a lot of buzz recently about handhistories (isildur,BT,BH etc) so I've decided I should try something similar. after all it sounds like a good business plan:

1. collect handhistories

2. ?

3. profit

after browsing the web for some time I found an archive of 5million hands played on ipoker@50nl 6max this autumn (sept-oct '2009 probably). I dont play on ipoker and I know nothing about players there but I assume there's no much difference between ipoker and FT or PS (and also I comply with their TOS..). I've created a separate database and now I'm importing these hands. It seems that it may take forever - it's been exporting for almost 24hrs so far yet it's imported about 2.7 mil hands. import speed dropped down dramaticaly from 70-80hands/s in the beginning to 33hands/now so I may stop import some time tomorrow.

there's an interesting too that comes with holdem manager which is called 'holdem vision'. basicaly it profiles players at given limit(lag, tag, nits etc) and shows how different stats(VPIP, PFR, AF etc) correlate with their winrates. It also shows ranges in different flop and preflop spots, depending on actions(limpers/raiser/facing 3bet etc), board textures and number of players. I may play with this database on weekends and may write some sort of report here so if anyone has any specific questions post them in comments.

what's the use? well, for example there's an interesting post on 2p2 (link) on facong flop raise. cliffnotes from article that goes with holdem manager:

Post Summary

• take notes: Always important, but top pair would be easy to get away from if villain only min-raises with sets and you have no other draws. (Now I just got to find the time to enter all this data into my player notes).
• Not best hand: It's probably safe to say that when min-raised, your top pair hand is behind 75% of the time, or will be by the river without any draws. Maybe a little less than that for your overpair.
• No Fold Equity: 99% of the time the min-raiser will go on to see a showdown, so don't try to bluff him/her out unless you have a good read/notes.
• Great Implied Odds: This does give you GREAT implied odds if you have a good draw.

Now this sounds extremely important as I probably lose alot of money in situations like this. I'd also like to check balugawhale's "theorem" (fold when someone raises your turn bet) and examine winning players' tendencies.

ok, so for now some diagrams (based on 2.67mil hands and filtered only players that have min 1000 hands tracked)

breakeven range is +/- 5 bb/100

VPIP

15-20% vpip - 25% of players are winners

20-25% vpip - 33% of players are winners

25-30% vpip - 31% of players are winners

30-35% vpip - 31% of players are winners

35-40% vpip - 27% of players are winners

PFR

10-15% pfr - 25% of players are winners

15-20% pfr - 31% of players are winners

20-25% pfr - 36% of players are winners

25-30% pfr - 32% of players are winners

Post Flop Aggression

AF :: % of winners

1 :: 22

2 :: 27

3 :: 30

4 :: 31

5 :: 24

>15 :: 27

3-bet

2-4% 3bet - 21% of players are winners

4-6% 3bet - 27% of players are winners

6-8% 3bet - 34% of players are winners

8-10% 3bet - 37% of players are winners

10-12% 3bet - 21% of players are winners

12-14% 3bet - 32% of players are winners

WTSD%

15-20% wtsd - 29% of players are winners

20-25% wtsd - 31% of players are winners

25-30% wtsd - 26% of players are winners

30-35% wtsd - 29% of players are winners

35-40% wtsd - 16% of players are winners

40-45% wtsd - 24% of players are winners

so stats for most winning players:

vpip - 20-25%

pfr - 15-20%

af - 2

3bet - 4-6%

wtsd - 25-30%

and now for something completely different..

I was reading some articles about poker bots the other day and it made me want to play some limit hold'em (as it's the easiest form of poker for botting). my first book on poker that I read was on limit poker and the first poker game I played was limit poker (well actually it was 5 card draw poker but I was like 7yrs old so probably it doesn't count)..but I haven't played it since then, so I started playing the lowest limit possible. anyway, here's the graph of me 14-tabling on pokerstars:

[x] 31bb/100

makes me wanna learn limit hold'em...

poker economy

i think this picture needs more love: